Valiance vs Sprout

Valiance ranked #28 from Serbia are facing team Sprout ranked #52 from Germany in the ESEA MDL Season 30 Europe that has 18 teams competing for a prize pool that yet has to be announced. The tournament is played online.

This is best of 1 type of match, and the map is CACHE.

Map highlights for team Valiance in the previous three months: Overpass is at 100,0% win rate on only one played map WIN/DRAW/LOSS - 1/0/1, Cache is at 86,7% on 15 played maps 13/0/2, Nuke 81,8% on 11 played maps 9/0/2, Mirage 69,6% on 23 played maps 16/0/7, Dust2 65,2% on 23 played maps 15/0/8, Train 60,0% on 15 played maps 9/0/6, and Inferno with 54,5% win rate on 11 played maps 6/0/5.

Map to be played is Cache and Valiance on Cache is very good. They played it 15 times, and the score is 13/0/2, they played 381 rounds and won 235 meaning they have 86,7% win percent. They also played 30 pistol rounds and won 20 having 66,7% pistol round win percent. Their round win percent after getting the first kill is 80,9%, and their round win percent after receiving the first death is 41,7% total. While playing as Terrorists on Cache they won 62,55% rounds, and while playing as Counter-Terrorists, they won only 37,45% total.

Map performance for team Sprout in the last three months: Mirage is at 77,8% win rate on nine played maps WON/TIED/LOST - 7/0/2, Nuke 69,2% on 13 played maps 9/0/4, Dust2 64,3% on 14 played maps 9/0/5, Train 63,6% on 11 played maps 7/0/4, Cache 62,5% on eight played maps 5/0/3, and Inferno with 42,9% win rate on 14 played maps 6/0/8.

Cache is not that good map for Sprout, they played it eight times, and the score is five wins with three losses. They played 219 rounds and won 119, that is 62,5% win percentage. They played 16 pistol rounds and won eight, that is 50,0% pistol round win percent. Their round win percent after getting the first kill is 74,8%, and their round win percent after receiving the early death is 33,3% total. Playing as Counter-Terrorists they won 43,7% rounds and on the Terrorist side 56,3% total rounds.

Pistol performance in the previous 50 days both on online & offline (LAN) events/tourneys goes to both teams since the stats are equal; both teams have 50,0% win rating total.

Valiance played 32 AMAZING maps already in January 2019 and won 20, converted, they played 15 games and won eight. During December they played 23 maps and won 17, in other words they played 11 matches and won eight. In November they played 37 maps and won 28, converted, they played 21 matches and won 16. In October they played seven maps and won four, converted, they played six games and won three.

Sprout played 11 maps in January and won all 11, congratz, converted, they played six matches and won all six. In December they played 27 maps and won 11, converted, they played 13 games and won only four. During November they played 29 maps and won 20, in other words, they played 17 matches and won ten. In October they played only two games, and they won one.

OK, so we have an extensive analysis on stats for both teams, let's implement them now. Valiance is ranked better than Sprout is, so that is something worth mentioning, and Cache is their 2nd best-played map, although Serbian teams tend to play Cache very bad from time to time, Valiance has managed to overcome the tactical difficulties and win a lot of games on this map. They played Cache five times in January and won four, that is something to admire. Sprout played Cache three times in January and won all three maps, but in December they played three maps also and lost all three (all three maps were very close with Sprout winning over 12 rounds every time). Good thing for Valiance is the win percent after fist kill and after the first death, which is bigger in both cases than in Sprout. Now, this tournament has been here a while, this is the 30th season and in the previous season Sprout was 5-8th while Valiance was 14th, but back then Valiance had no Espiranto and Nexa to carry them, now i believe the things will change. At the moment Sprout is 4th with one played match which they won, and Valiance is 14th with one played match that they lost. Things can change pretty drastically if either team wins. My bet will go to team Valiance to win, but with a small amount invested, too much risk since i still cannot understand what team will invest more focus and energy in this tournament. If you have an option, bet on more than 27,5 rounds, that would be my advice.

Good luck to all who bet, and don't forget to gamble responsibly!