Team Liquid vs Made in Brazil

Liquid ranked #6 from the United States are clashing against team MIBR ranked #15 from Brazil in the ESL One: RIO - North America that has 12 teams competing for the prize pool of $60,000. This tournament is played online due to the corona issue, and this is the best of 3 type of match.

Liquid map performance in the last three months: Overpass is at 75,0% win rate on four played maps - WON/TIE/LOSS - 3/0/1, Vertigo 71,4% on seven played maps 5/0/2, Inferno 60,0% on five played maps 3/0/2, Nuke 60,0% on five played maps 3/0/2, Mirage 57,1% on seven played maps 4/0/3, and Dust2 with 37,5% win rate on eight played maps 3/0/5.

They played ten maps in April and won eight, converted, they played four matches and won all four. During March, they played nine maps and won five, converted, they played four games and won two. In February, they played 15 maps and won six; in other words, they played seven games and won three. In January, they played two maps and won both, converted, they played one game since it was Bo1, they won it against MIBR 2-0 (22-19, and 16-9 on Inferno).

MIBR map highlights in the previous three months: Overpass is at 66,7% win rate on six played maps 4/0/2, Mirage 62,5% on eight played maps 5/0/3, Train 55,6% on nine played maps 5/0/4, Dust2 54,5% on 11 played maps 6/0/5, Inferno 54,5% on 11 played maps Vertigo 42,9% on seven played maps 3/0/4, and Nuke with 33,3% win rate on three played maps 1/0/2.

They played 26 maps in April and won 16, converted, they played ten matches and won seven. During March, they played 18 maps and won 11; in other words, they played eight games and won five. In February, they played nine maps and won three, converted, they played four games and won one. During January, they played two maps and won none; those two maps were one Bo1 game.

OK, so this tourney is a bit different than the one in Europe. We have Liquid who are 3rd in Group B with one win and +2 round difference while MIBR is 2nd with one win and +15 round difference. The odds favor Liquid heavily with them being around 1,30 while for MIBR they are 3,30. The head-to-head score is 25 wins for Liquid and 12 wins for MIBR. Liquid are ranked better and they won 4 out of 5 last matches while MIBR won 4 out of 5. Four MIBR players have over 1,00 rating, while Liquid has only three players. The average round lost in wins for Liquid is 11,95, while their average rounds won in losses is 10,53. On the other side, MIBR average rounds lost in wins is 10,03, and the average round won in losses is 9,88. The first pick for Liquid is Inferno with 60% on five played maps while their first ban is Train, where they have 0%, wins on zero played maps. The first pick for MIBR is Train, where they have 56% wins on nine played maps, and their first ban is Nuke, where they have 33% wins on three played maps.

I will go with a clear win for Liquid here.

Good luck to all who bet, and may the odds be ever in your favor!