Team Heroic vs Fnatic

In the Group B upper bracket quarter-final of IEM Katowice 2018, Heroic and Fnatic are fighting in a best of 1 match for the place in the further stage of the tournament.

I'll start with statistics as always:

Heroic

Rank: 12

Matches: 392

Won: 209 Draw: 0 Lost: 183

Win ratio: 1.14

Opponent avg. rank: 27.73

Fnatic

Rank: 9

Matches: 1101

Won: 706 Draw: 8 Lost: 387

Win ratio: 1.82

Opponent avg. rank: 22.15

Out of last 5 matches, both teams won only 2.

Head to head: Heroic 3 - 6 Fnatic.

These 2 Tier 1 teams are not doing so good lately, Fnatic was one of the best teams in CS:GO history. They had a recent roster change and that destroyed them but they are still in top 10. Heroic is slowly stepping up and showing on a CS:GO scene but I believe they can't win here today. Considering that both teams are in bad shape, Fnatic is a more experienced team and they should be able to win. Further, out of last 5 times head to head matches, Fnatic won 4 (last 4 in a row). This is a LAN match, and Heroic is not so good on LAN while on the other side Fnatic is more experienced and they are better on LAN than online. I would go for a medium bet 7/10 on Fnatic, I believe experience would prevail here. GL & HF