Nemiga Gaming vs Syman

Nemiga ranked #41 from Belarus are clashing against team Syman ranked #43 from CIS in the ESL One: Road to Rio - CIS that has 12 teams competing for the prize pool of $50,000 and a different amount of RMR Points depending on the placement.

Nemiga map performance in the last three months: Mirage is at 85,7% win rate on seven played maps - WON/TIED/LOST - 6/0/1, Overpass 75,0% on eight played maps 6/0/2, Inferno 53,3% on 15 played maps 8/0/7, Vertigo 50,0% on 14 played maps 7/0/7, Dust2 44,4% on nine played maps 4/0/5, and Nuke with 33,3% win rate on 12 played maps 4/0/8.

They played 17 maps in May and won eight, converted, they played seven matches and won three. During April, they played 20 maps and won 14; in other words, they played nine games and won seven. In March, they played 12 maps and won six, converted, they played nine games and won five. During February, they played 16 maps and won seven; in other words, they played ten games and won five.

Syman map highlights in the previous three months: Train is at 66,7% win rate on six played maps - WIN/DREW/LOSS - 4/0/2, Inferno 60,0% on ten played maps 6/0/4, Dust2 50,0% on six played maps 3/0/3, Mirage 42,9% on seven played maps 3/0/4, Overpass 25,0% on 12 played maps 3/0/9, Nuke 0,0% on one played map 0/0/1, and Vertigo with 0,0% win rate on two played maps 0/0/2.

They played 16 maps and won seven, converted, they played six matches and won three. During April, they played 23 maps and won eight; in other words, they played 12 games and won four. In March, they played five maps and won four, converted, they played two games and won both.

OK, so we reached the ending phases of this tournament. To be or not to be, that is the question for these two teams. Nemiga finished the group stage as 3rd in Group A with three wins, two losses, and +24 round difference while Syman also finished as 3rd but in the opposite Group B with three wins, two losses, and -10 round difference. (the round difference between these two teams is of no concern since Nemiga had team Unique in their group who had -86 round difference so basically, all those positive stats for Nemiga don't count that much). Just after the group stage, Nemiga lost to Virtus.pro with 2-1 (16-10 on Mirage, 17-19 on Inferno and 6-16 on Vertigo), while on the other side, Syman lost to Winstrike 2-0 (14-16 on Mirage, and 13-16 on Nuke).

Let's see some more stats...

Nemiga is better ranked for two places above, and both teams won three out of five last matches, ok so they are pretty equal here, but if we look at the individual stats for players we can see that Nemiga has a slight advantage since 4/5 players have over 1,00 rating playing on this event, with Syman having only 2/5. Average round lost in wins is 10,20, and average round won in losses is 10,88 for Nemiga, while average rounds lost in wins for Syman is 12,61, and average round won in losses is 10,26, from these stats we can see that Nemiga is better by a small margin. The first pick for Nemiga is Inferno, where they have 53% win rating on 15 played maps, and their first ban is Train, where they have 0% win rating on potato played maps. For Syman, their first pick is also Inferno, where they have 60% win rating on ten played maps, and their first ban is Nuke, where they have 0% win rate on only one played map. Head-to-head these two teams played one game back in October 2k19 and the score was 2-1 in favor of Nemiga (19-15 on Inferno, 14-16 on Mirage, and 16-4 on Dust2). I will go with a confident win for Nemiga, they really look more favorable, and the majority of those stats are on their side, so a clear win for Nemiga is my bet.

Good luck to all who bet, and don't forget to gamble responsibly!