BIG vs Virtus Pro

BIG ranked #17 from Germany are clashing against team Virtus.pro ranked #18 from Kazakhstan in the Home Sweet Home Cup that has 16 teams competing for the prize pool of $40,000. This tournament is played online, and this is the best of 3 quarter-final type of match.

Map performance in the last three months for BIG: Inferno is at 76,5% win rate on 17 played maps - WON/DREW/LOSS - 13/0/4, Nuke 70,0% on ten played maps 7/0/3, Mirage 68,8% on 16 played maps 11/0/5, Dust2 54,5% on 11 played maps 6/0/5, Vertigo 50,0% on six played maps 3/0/3, and Overpass with 33,3% win rate on three played maps 1/0/2.

They played three maps in April and won all three. During March, they played 35 maps and won 20, converted, they played 20 matches and won 11. In February, they played 12 maps and won nine; in other words, they played ten games and won eight. And during January they played 13 maps and won nine.

Map highlights in the previous three months for Virtus.pro: Inferno is at 66,7% win rate at three played maps - WIN/TIE/LOSS - 2/0/1, Vertigo 44,4% on nine played maps 4/0/5, Train 33,3% on three played maps 1/0/2, Overpass 33,3% on six played maps 2/0/4, Mirage 25,0% on four played maps 1/0/3, and Dust2 with 16,7% win rate on six played maps 1/0/5.

They played 13 maps in April and won eight, converted, they played six games and won four. In March, they played four maps and won none; in other words, they played two matches and lost both. In February, they played 11 maps and won 11, converted, they played five games and won one. In January, they played three maps and won none, converted, they played two games and won none.

OK, so four groups and two from each group advance further. BIG finished as 1st in Group A with two wins and +29 round difference, while Virtus.pro finished in Group D with two wins, one loss, and +19 round difference. The odds favor BIG with 1,47, while for VP, they are 2,55. Looking at the stats, we can see that BIG is ranked better for one spot on the global ladder, and they are in the better form overall, more matches won, and players individually have a better rating on recent maps with the only tiziaN being under 1,00 with 0,99... BIG average round lost in wins is 9,71 while for VP it is 9,27, this one goes to VP, and average round won in losses for BIG is 11,62 while for VP it is 11,17 and this one goes to BIG, so it is a tie. Looking at the form, BIG has it by a big margin, but we can see both teams climbing steadily. Both teams suck at Vertigo, and Overpass, with Train being first picked for VP, it is the first ban for BIG, so we are left with D2 also a ban for VP and Mirage first pick for BIG, where they have 69% win rating, so we can clearly see that BIG wins this veto process with at least two maps going in their favor. Head-to-head score is 3-1 in favor of BIG. I will go with BIG to win here, maybe it goes in over 2,5 maps, but i think they will dominate the weird team setup of VP.

Good luck to all who bet, and don't forget to gamble responsibly!