BIG vs Team Heroic

BIG ranked#46 from Germany are facing team Heroic ranked #16 from Denmark in the DreamHack Open Leipzig 2020, which has eight teams competing for the prize pool of $100,000. The tourney is being played on LAN in Leipzig, Germany, and it this matchup is best of 3 semi-final type of match.

BIG map highlights in the last three months: Nuke is at 66,7% win rate on 15 played maps - WIN/DREW/LOSS - 10/0/5, Mirage 63,6% on 11 played maps 7/0/4, Vertigo 50,0% on two played maps 1/0/1, Inferno 44,4% on nine played maps 4/0/5, Dust2 42,9% on seven played maps 3/0/4, Overpass 40,0% on five played maps 2/0/3, and Train with 16,7% win rate on six played maps 1/0/5.

They played eight maps in January and won four, converted, they played five matches and won three. During December, they played 20 maps and won nine, converted, they played 11 games and won five. In November, they played 25 maps and won 15; in other words, they played 11 games and won seven. In October, they played one game, which they lost.

Heroic map performance in the previous three months: Overpass is at 90,0% win rate on ten played maps - WON/TIED/LOST - 9/0/1, Mirage 75,0% on eight played maps 6/0/2, Nuke 71,4% on 21 played maps 15/0/6, Inferno 56,2% on 16 played maps 9/0/7, Vertigo 54,5% on 11 played maps 6/0/5, Train 50,0% on eight played maps 4/0/4, and Dust2 with 0,0% win rate on two played maps 0/0/2.

They played 28 maps in January and won 18; in other words, they played 12 matches and won eight. During December, they played 28 maps and won 16; in other words, they played 13 games and won eight. In November, they played 12 maps and won nine, converted, they played seven games and won five. In October, they played eight maps and won six.

OK, so BIG finished as 1st in Group A with two wins and +16 rounddifference, while Heroic finished as 2nd with two wins, one loss, and +18 round difference. Head-to-head the score is 0-2 in favor of Heroic. I will go with Heroic.

Good luck to all who bet, and don't forget to gamble responsibly!