BIG vs Sprout

BIG ranked #17 from Germany are clashing agaisnt team Sprout ranked #36 also from Germany in the Home Sweet Home Cup that has 16 teams competing for the prize pool of $40,000. This tournament is played online, and this is the best of 3 semi-final type of match.

Map highlights in the last three months for team BIG: Inferno is at 76,5% win rate on 17 played maps - WON/TIE/LOSS - 13/0/4, Mirage 70,6% on 17 played maps 12/0/5, Nuke 70,0% on ten played maps 7/0/3, Dust2 54,5% on 11 played maps 6/0/5, Overpass 50,0% on four played maps 2/0/2, and Vertigo with 50,0% win rate on six played maps 3/0/3.

They played five maps in April and won all five, converted, they played three matches and won all three. During March, they played 35 maps and won 20; in other words, they played 20 maps and won 11. In February, they played 12 maps and won nine, converted, they played ten games and won eight. During January, they played 13 maps and won nine; in other words, they played eight games and won six.

Map performance in the previous three months for team Sprout: Mirage is at 100,0% win rate on 13 played maps - WIN/DREW/LOST - 13/0/0, Vertigo 75,0% on four played maps 3/0/1, Inferno 71,4% on 14 played maps 10/0/4, Train 66,7% on six played maps 4/0/2, Dust2 57,1% on seven played maps 4/0/3, Nuke 40,0% on ten played maps 4/0/6, and Overpass with 0,0% win rate on only one played map 0/0/1.

They played 11 maps in April and won ten, converted, they played six matches and won five. In March, they played 16 maps and won nine; in other words, they played 11 games and won six. In February, they played 16 maps and won 13, converted, they played 13 games and won 11. And during January they played 12 maps and won six, converted, they played six games and won three.

OK, so BIG finished as 1st in Group A with two wins and +29 round difference while Sprout finished as 2nd in Group C with two wins, one loss, and +14 round difference. After the group stage, we have playoffs where BIG defeated Virtus.pro 2-0 (19-16 on Overpass, and 22-19 on Mirage). On the other side, we have Sprout, who defeated SKADE with 2-0 (16-11 on Mirage, and 16-12 on Inferno). The odds heavily favor BIG with 1.50 over 2.40 for Sprout, let's see why... BIG has won three/five last matches while Sprout fon four/five recent games, BIG is ranked 29 places above Sprout; also, four out of five BIG players have a positive score in the last three months over Sprout's three players out of five. Average rounds lost in wins for BIG 10,31, and for Sprout 11,22, while average rounds won in losses for BIG 11,62 and for Sprout 10,45. BIG leads here 2-0. Map stats are weird a bit.

BIG's first pick is Mirage where they have 5 maps winning streak with 71% win rate on 17 played maps; also this map is the first pick for Sprout where they have an amazing 13 map winning streak with 100% win rating on all those 13 played maps, they also have 5 maps winning streak on Inferno, just to be clear. The first ban for BIG is Train, and the first ban for Sprout is Vertigo. I will go with Sprout +1,5 map handicap.

Good luck to all who bet, and may the odds be ever in your favor!