Astralis vs Made in Brazil

Astralis ranked #1 from Denmark are facing team MIBR ranked #4 from Brazil in the IEM Katowice 2019 that has 16 teams competing for the prize pool of $1,000,000. The tournament is played in Katowice, Poland on LAN.

This is best of 3 semi-final type of match.

Astralis map performance in the last three months: Cache is at 100,0% win rate on one played map - WIN/TIE/LOSS - 1/0/0, Inferno 100,0% on 11 played maps 11/0/0, Nuke 100,0% on three played maps 3/0/0, Dust2 85,7% on seven played maps 6/0/1, Mirage 66,7% on six played maps 4/0/2, Train 66,7% on three played maps 2/0/1, Overpass 33,3% on three played maps 1/0/2.

MIBR map highlights in the previous three months: Dust2 is at 100,0% win rate on one played map - WON/DRAWED/LOST - 1/0/0, Train 100,0% on three played maps 3/0/0, Mirage 66,7% on six played maps 4/0/1, Inferno 57,1% on seven played maps 4/0/3, Overpass 50,0% on two played maps 1/0/1, and Cache with 0,0% win rate on one played map 0/0/1.

Pistol performance in the last 100 days, both on online and offline events goes to team Astralis who have 60,2% win rating over team MIBR who have 53,4% total.

Astralis played five maps in February and won four, converted, they played three games and won all three. In January they played seven maps and won five, in other words, they played four games and won three. During December they played 20 maps and won 17, converted, they played 11 games and won all of them.

MIBR played five maps in February and won four; in other words, they played four games and won three. In December they played 13 maps and won seven maps with one tied, converted, they played nine games and won five.

OK, so Astralis was 1st in the new legends stage (group) with three played matches and three wins. They won 81 rounds and lost 36 = +45 round difference. MIBR was 4th with four played matches and three wins. They won 67 rounds and lost 57 = +10 round difference. After the group stage, Astralis played against team NiP where they pretty much dominated with 2-0 (16-2 on Mirage and 16-14 on Dust2), and MIBR played against team Renegades 2-0 (16-6 on Dust2, and 16-12 on Train). The winner of this game will play against the winner of Natus Vincere vs ENCE. The difference is huge, so all of them will play their best to grab that final spot. 3-4th wins $70,000 2nd wins $150,000, and the final place brings $500,000, that is an insane amount of money. Looking at the stats for this tourney so far, Astralis is a 1st top team with 1,24 rating on seven played maps, and their best players are "device" with 1,38 rating on seven played maps, "Xyp9x" with 1,29 rating, and "Magisk" with 1,24 rating. MIBR is the 3rd top team with 1,12 rating on seven played maps. Their best players are "coldzera" with 1,34 rating on seven played maps, and "fer" with 1,23 rating. Distribution of played maps so far: Mirage x15, Inferno x11, Dust2 x11, Train x8, Overpass x6, Cache x6, and Nuke with four played maps.

I will go with a two-way bet here - Over 2,5 maps, and MIBR +1,5 handicap. It is very tough to decide who will win, so i will pick maps played.

Good luck to all who bet, and don't forget to gamble responsibly!