AGO Gaming vs Team Kinguin

This is the first match in group C on Monter Russia 2 tournament. I think Ago is the best team in this tournament and I expect them to win this. Today they play against Kinguin and they need to win this to gain the respect of other teams. Both teams performed poor lately, they won 2 out of 5 last matches but AGO had better opponents. They played versus tier 1 opponents while Kinguin is still struggling vs tier 2 and tier 3 teams.

Last month they played head to head 3 times and AGO won every single time, 2 times with handicap. They are a better team, they play like tier 1 and this is next level for Kinguin. I watched Kinguin playing against those tier 2 teams, they won rounds that was not supposed to be won, they opponents literally commit suicide a few times while not knowing the map well enough (where you can jump, awp spots where you can't expose yourself that easily and so on ).

I won't go with big bet here just because this is the first match and I don't know what to expect, how much effort would they put in this because this is small (10 000$) tournament and AGO is a team that played bigger tournaments, that is why this should be easy for them but they may experience lack of morale and they may not commit to this 100% so I would go with medium bet 6/10. GL & HF