AGO Gaming vs Nordavind

AGO ranked #56 from Poland are clashing against team Nordavind ranked #52 from Europe (mix of players) in the LOOT.BET Season 6 that has 20 teams competing for the prize pool of $50,000. This tournament is played online, and this is the best of 3 type of match.

Map highlights in the last three months for AGO: Inferno is at 80,0% win rate on five played maps - WINS/TIES/LOSSES - 4/0/1, Dust2 75,0% on eight played maps 6/0/2, Train 53,8% on 13 played maps 7/0/6, Vertigo 50,0% on eight played maps 4/0/4, Mirage 46,7% on 15 played maps 7/0/8, Nuke 28,6% on seven played maps 2/0/5.

They played eight maps in April and won two; in other words, they played four matches and won one. In March, they played 17 maps and won 13, converted, they played 14 games and won 11. In February, they played 30 maps and won 14. During January, they played one map, which they won against SJ with 16-6 on Dust2.

Map performance in the previous three months for Nordavind: Overpass is at 71,4% win rate on seven played maps - WON/DREW/LOST - 5/0/2, Mirage 50,0% on 14 played maps 7/0/7, Inferno 50,0% on 12 played maps 6/0/6, Nuke 50,0% on six played maps 3/0/3, Dust2 33,3% on six played maps 2/0/4, and Vertigo with 20,0% win rate on five played maps 1/0/4.

They played ten maps in April and won three, converted, they played five games and won one. During March, they played 28 maps and won 14; in other words, they played 16 matches and won eight. During February, they played 12 maps and won seven, converted, they played ten games and won six.

OK, so AGO is 14th with -11 round difference and 0-1 score, while Nordavind is 12th with -8 round difference and 0-1 result. The odds are pretty much the same, with AGO being slightly favored with 1,78 while Nordavind has 2,05 odds. The head-to-head score is 2-1 in favor of AGO, with the last game that went to the 2-1 (12-16 on Mirage, 16-11 on Inferno, and 19-15 on Dust2). Nordavind are ranked four places better, but they are playing with a stand-in who has a 0,92 rating and 67,3 DPR. Average rounds won during losses is 10,67 for AGO, while it is 9,82 for Nordavind, and the average round lost during wins is 10,14 for AGO, while it is 10,07 for Nordavind. The score here is 1-1. Looking at the map stats, we can see that both teams have a four map losing streak on Mirage, so let's count that map off lol. For AGO Inferno is and 80% win rate and four maps winning streak, but they tend to first pick Train, which is at 54% win rate on 13 played maps. For Nordavind, it is Overpass where they have a 71% win rate on seven played maps; of course, that map is the first ban for AGO lol.

I just saw that Nordavind lost on Overpass against Syman, that is their best map by far, so i will go with a safe bet on AGO +1,5 handicap.

Good luck to all who bet, and don't forget to gamble responsibly!